PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →