PITCHER MATCHUP
Connor Prielipp vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Connor Prielipp's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 12%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 KM Ketel Marte SH .368
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.