PITCHER MATCHUP
Connor Prielipp vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Connor Prielipp's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 17%Sinker 14%Changeup 10%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .358
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.