PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.