PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 17%Sinker 14%Changeup 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.