PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →