PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.