PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .398
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.