PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.