PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.