PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .221 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.