PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.