PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 12%Sweeper 10%Cutter 9%Slider 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PA Pete Alonso RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →