PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DS Daniel Susac RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR Jesus Rodriguez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesus Rodriguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.