PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 14%Splitter 13%Sweeper 10%Cutter 9%Slider 9%Curveball 7%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.