PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 14%Splitter 13%Sweeper 10%Cutter 9%Slider 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CY Christian Yelich LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →