PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.