PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.