PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.