PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 14%Splitter 13%Sweeper 10%Cutter 9%Slider 9%Curveball 7%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →