PITCHER MATCHUP

Colin Rea vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Colin Rea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Colin Rea's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sinker 13%Splitter 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 7%Changeup 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Colin Rea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.