PITCHER MATCHUP

Cole Winn vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cole Winn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cole Winn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Cutter 24%Slider 21%Splitter 14%Sinker 11%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cole Winn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →