PITCHER MATCHUP

Cole Winn vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cole Winn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cole Winn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Cutter 24%Slider 22%Splitter 14%Sinker 9%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cole Winn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.