PITCHER MATCHUP

Cole Winn vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cole Winn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cole Winn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Cutter 24%Slider 22%Splitter 14%Sinker 9%Curveball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cole Winn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.