PITCHER MATCHUP

Clay Holmes vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Clay Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Cutter 9%Slider 7%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Curveball 3%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.