PITCHER MATCHUP

Clay Holmes vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Clay Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Cutter 8%Slider 7%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Curveball 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.