PITCHER MATCHUP

Clay Holmes vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Clay Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Slider 8%Cutter 7%Four-Seam Fastball 4%Curveball 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →