PITCHER MATCHUP
Clay Holmes vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Clay Holmes's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Cutter 9%Slider 7%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Curveball 3%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.