PITCHER MATCHUP

Clay Holmes vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Clay Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Slider 8%Cutter 8%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Curveball 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-31 game page →