PITCHER MATCHUP

Clay Holmes vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Clay Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Clay Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 45%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Cutter 9%Slider 7%Four-Seam Fastball 3%Curveball 3%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Clay Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.