PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 22%Cutter 14%Splitter 7%Slider 5%Sinker 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →