PITCHER MATCHUP
Christian Scott vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Christian Scott's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%Splitter 5%Slider 4%Curveball 3%Sinker 2%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Matt McLain RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.