PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 23%Cutter 16%Splitter 5%Slider 4%Curveball 3%Sinker 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →