PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Sweeper 22%Cutter 15%Splitter 6%Slider 5%Curveball 2%Sinker 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.