PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 22%Cutter 14%Splitter 7%Slider 5%Sinker 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.