PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%Splitter 5%Slider 4%Curveball 3%Sinker 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.