PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 22%Cutter 14%Splitter 7%Slider 5%Sinker 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-03 game page →