PITCHER MATCHUP
Christian Scott vs Houston Astros
How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Christian Scott's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 22%Cutter 17%Splitter 6%Slider 3%Curveball 3%Sinker 2%
How the Houston Astros's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
-
1 CW Christian Walker RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .388
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 CS Cam Smith RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.