PITCHER MATCHUP

Christian Scott vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Christian Scott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Christian Scott's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 23%Cutter 16%Splitter 5%Slider 4%Curveball 3%Sinker 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Christian Scott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →