PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .462 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.