PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.