PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.