PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.