PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 43%Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 EQ Edgar Quero SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.