PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.