PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 7%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →