PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →