PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.