PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.