PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .258vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 689 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →