PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 7%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.