PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 43%Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .385
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .450 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →