PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →