PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.