PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.