PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 641 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.