PITCHER MATCHUP
Chris Sale vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Chris Sale's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .249vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.