PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 7%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.