PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 7%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.