PITCHER MATCHUP
Chris Sale vs Milwaukee Brewers
How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Chris Sale's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%
How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 BT Brice Turang LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 WC William Contreras RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.