PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.