PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 43%Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DH David Hamilton LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Slider (43% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →