PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Sale vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Sale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Sale's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .248vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 42%Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 10%Sinker 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Sale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Slider (42% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.