PITCHER MATCHUP
Chris Murphy vs Cleveland Guardians
How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Murphy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Chris Murphy's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 27%Curveball 26%Sweeper 6%Sinker 5%Changeup 4%Splitter 1%
How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Murphy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 JA Jo Adell RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SK Steven Kwan LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 JR José Ramírez SH .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Angel Martínez SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.