PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Murphy vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Murphy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Murphy's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 27%Slider 26%Sweeper 5%Sinker 4%Changeup 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Murphy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 672 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.