PITCHER MATCHUP
Chris Bassitt vs Boston Red Sox
How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Bassitt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Chris Bassitt's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Curveball 18%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Sweeper 6%Changeup 5%Slider 3%Splitter 2%
How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Bassitt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.