PITCHER MATCHUP

Chris Bassitt vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chris Bassitt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chris Bassitt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 40%Curveball 18%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 8%Sweeper 6%Changeup 5%Slider 3%Splitter 3%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chris Bassitt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →