PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 35%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BR Ben Rice LHB .379
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JE J.C. Escarra LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.C. Escarra
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →