PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.