PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .249Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .385
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.