PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JC José Caballero RHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.