PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .378
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BS Bryson Stott LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.