PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →