PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .300
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT José Tena LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →