PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.