PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .377
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.