PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .413
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .448 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.