PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .247Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Curveball 1%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .415
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.