PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .421
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .461 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.