PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.