PITCHER MATCHUP
Chase Burns vs Cleveland Guardians
How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Chase Burns's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%
How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 JA Jo Adell RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JR José Ramírez SH .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
- Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.