PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Jonah Cox RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Cox
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.