PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.