PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .249Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Curveball 1%Sinker 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .219 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AF Alex Freeland SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →