PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.