PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 36%Changeup 6%Curveball 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →