PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Sinker 1%Curveball 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.