PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Burns vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Burns's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Burns's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Slider 37%Changeup 5%Curveball 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Burns, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.