PITCHER MATCHUP
Cesar Perdomo vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cesar Perdomo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Cesar Perdomo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 30%Slider 24%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cesar Perdomo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TF Ty France RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .273
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.