PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Splitter 24%Slider 20%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 AR Amed Rosario RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →