PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 21%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.