PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JP Joc Pederson LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.