PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.