PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 21%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  4. 4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.