PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Splitter 24%Slider 20%Sinker 11%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AM Angel Martínez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  6. 6 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.