PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 21%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  6. 6 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →