PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.