PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.