PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.