PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HB Henry Bolte RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  4. 4 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 MM Max Muncy RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 DW Donovan Walton LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 AW Alika Williams RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.