PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 21%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  2. 2 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 JH Jonah Heim SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .196 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →