PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 22%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JH Jonah Heim SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.