PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 20%Sinker 12%SV 9%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 JL Josh Lowe LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →