PITCHER MATCHUP

Casey Mize vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Casey Mize's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Casey Mize's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Splitter 23%Slider 21%Sinker 11%SV 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Casey Mize, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 JL Josh Lowe LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 JS Jose Siri RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Tyler Heineman SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.