PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Whisenhunt vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Whisenhunt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Whisenhunt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .401Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 35%Slider 15%Sinker 6%SV 2%Curveball 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Whisenhunt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LC Luis Campusano RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.