PITCHER MATCHUP

Carson Whisenhunt vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carson Whisenhunt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carson Whisenhunt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .228vs RHH xwOBA .442Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 37%Slider 17%Curveball 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carson Whisenhunt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →